OFK Beograd 1-0 Tekstilac Odzaci — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 29 Jul 2024

📅29/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-5.2pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.3pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Tekstilac Odzaci EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFK Beograd
1-0
AWAY Tekstilac Odzaci
0.42 xG 1.01
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 Passes 322
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
9 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH OFK Beograd vs Tekstilac Odzaci
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFK Beograd edged past Tekstilac Odzaci 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had OFK Beograd as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, OFK Beograd had 49% of the ball to Tekstilac Odzaci's 51%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 0.42 to 1.01 — the balance of chances actually favoured Tekstilac Odzaci.

What was the final score of OFK Beograd vs Tekstilac Odzaci?

OFK Beograd 1-0 Tekstilac Odzaci in the Serbia - Super League on 29/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFK Beograd vs Tekstilac Odzaci?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFK Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split OFK Beograd 54%, draw 25%, Tekstilac Odzaci 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (OFK Beograd), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (OFK Beograd) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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