CA River Plate 2-2 Racing Club Montevideo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 29 Jul 2024

📅29/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA River Plate EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.24/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.84
+3% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -42%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
237 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA River Plate
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.09.2023 CA River Plate CA River Plate 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
19.02.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
18.09.2019 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 HT 1-1 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
13.09.2015 CA River Plate CA River Plate 3-1 HT 2-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
31.05.2015 CA River Plate CA River Plate 1-0 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
11.05.2014 CA River Plate CA River Plate 0-2 HT 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA River Plate
2-2
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CA River Plate vs Racing Club Montevideo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA River Plate and Racing Club Montevideo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Racing Club Montevideo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, CA River Plate had 56% of the ball to Racing Club Montevideo's 44%, shots finished 12-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA River Plate had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CA River Plate and 0.67 for Racing Club Montevideo.

What was the final score of CA River Plate vs Racing Club Montevideo?

CA River Plate 2-2 Racing Club Montevideo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 29/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA River Plate vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CA River Plate 32%, draw 26%, Racing Club Montevideo 42%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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