Ipswich Town 2-1 Charlton Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 29 Jul 2025

📅29/07/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
33%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.07
Over 2.5
45%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.01
6+ Goals
8%
9.83
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 29% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
57%
-16.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
33%
Away Win
19%
+13.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.1pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 22%
-64% / -64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.96
-45% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ipswich Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Charlton Athletic
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.75 xG 1.45
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
360 Passes 240
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2023 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 6-0 HT 2-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
29.10.2022 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 4-4 HT 0-1 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İN1
30.04.2022 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 4-0 HT 2-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
07.12.2021 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İN1
17.04.2021 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İN1
28.11.2020 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ipswich Town
2-1
AWAY Charlton Athletic
69% Ball Possession 31%
17 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ipswich Town vs Charlton Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ipswich Town squeezed past Charlton Athletic 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ipswich Town as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ipswich Town had 69% of the ball to Charlton Athletic's 31%, shots finished 17-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Ipswich Town and 1.33 for Charlton Athletic.

What was the final score of Ipswich Town vs Charlton Athletic?

Ipswich Town 2-1 Charlton Athletic in the Friendlies on 29/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ipswich Town vs Charlton Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ipswich Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ipswich Town 41%, draw 26%, Charlton Athletic 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ipswich Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ipswich Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
29 Jul 2025
00:00 Stamford vs Kings Langley Analysis →
00:00 Dunston UTS vs Darlington 1883 Analysis →
00:00 Cleethorpes Town vs Boston United Analysis →
00:00 Chesham United vs Billericay Town Analysis →
14:00 Jong Sparta vs Telstar Analysis →
16:00 Grasshoppers vs Celta Vigo Analysis →