Monza 2-0 Alcione — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 29 Jul 2025

Monza
2-0 HT 2-0
Alcione
📅29/07/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Monza vs Alcione Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.25
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
4.62
2-3 Goals
44%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.67
6+ Goals
10%
6.98
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.62 — our 23% vs market 15.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
76%
-8.5pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.1pp
14%
Away Win
8%
+5.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Monza v Alcione — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monza EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcione EU Bookmakers 11%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
2.44/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+6% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +10%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
443 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards –

Monza 2-0 Alcione — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monza
2-0
AWAY Alcione
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Monza vs Alcione
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monza got the better of Alcione 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Monza as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Monza had 57% of the ball to Alcione's 43%, shots finished 11-10.

What was the final score of Monza vs Alcione?

Monza 2-0 Alcione in the Friendlies on 29/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monza vs Alcione?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monza win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Monza 67%, draw 19%, Alcione 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monza), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monza) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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