Gualaceo 1-1 Macara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Cup, 29 Jul 2026

Gualaceo
1-1 HT 0-0
Macara
📅29/07/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ecuador - Cup – 2026

Gualaceo vs Macara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
23%
2.88
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+5.0pp
23%
Draw
31%
-8.0pp
46%
Away Win
43%
+3.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.0pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gualaceo v Macara — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gualaceo EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Macara EU Bookmakers 48%
+60% / +60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/0.00
+4% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Gualaceo vs Macara Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gualaceo
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Macara
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.69 xG 1.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
222 Passes 210
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
10 Box Touches 15
9 Crosses 24
5 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
17.09.2022 Macara Macara 1-1 HT 0-1 Gualaceo Gualaceo EKV1
30.04.2022 Gualaceo Gualaceo 2-1 HT 0-0 Macara Macara EKV1

Gualaceo 1-1 Macara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gualaceo
1-1
AWAY Macara
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gualaceo vs Macara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gualaceo and Macara shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Macara at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gualaceo had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gualaceo and 1.00 for Macara.

What was the final score of Gualaceo vs Macara?

Gualaceo 1-1 Macara in the Ecuador - Cup on 29/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gualaceo vs Macara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Macara win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gualaceo 31%, draw 23%, Macara 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Macara), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Macara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →