Al Nasr 4-1 Baniyas SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 29 Aug 2024

📅29/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.09
2-3 Goals
36%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
9.78
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.09 — our 28% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.3pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.4pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.8pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Baniyas SC EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
1.62/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.37
-17% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +34%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
350 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
21.8 Crosses 17.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nasr
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Baniyas SC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.55 xG 1.51
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
435 Passes 273
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-0 HT 1-0 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
26.08.2023 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 4-2 HT 2-2 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
11.03.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-0 HT 0-0 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
16.10.2022 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
10.03.2022 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
29.09.2021 Al Nasr Al Nasr 2-2 HT 0-0 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
POST-MATCH Al Nasr vs Baniyas SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasr ran out comfortable winners over Baniyas SC 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Nasr as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Nasr and 1.50 for Baniyas SC.

What was the final score of Al Nasr vs Baniyas SC?

Al Nasr 4-1 Baniyas SC in the UAE - League on 29/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nasr vs Baniyas SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nasr win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Nasr 46%, draw 29%, Baniyas SC 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nasr) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nasr) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAE More UAE - League
29 Aug 2024
16:55 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Al Urooba Analysis →
16:55 Al Wasl Dubai vs Dibba Al Hisn Analysis →
19:30 Al Sharjah vs Al Ittihad Kalba Analysis →