Criciuma 1-0 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 29 Aug 2024

Criciuma
1-0 HT 1-0
Bragantino
📅29/08/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Criciuma vs Bragantino Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.79
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.19
6+ Goals
8%
20.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 34% vs market 29.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.36
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
15%
4.9
X/2
8%
6.04
X/X
14%
4.13
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
18%
4.51
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-1.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.8pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Criciuma v Bragantino — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Criciuma EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -16%
1.13/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.21
+11% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
21.9 Crosses 20.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Criciuma vs Bragantino Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Criciuma
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bragantino
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.77 xG 1.26
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
275 Passes 368
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
8 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.11.2019 Bragantino 1-1 HT 1-1 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
20.08.2019 Criciuma Criciuma 0-2 HT 0-1 Bragantino BR2
11.10.2016 Bragantino 2-0 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
25.06.2016 Criciuma Criciuma 1-1 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR2
07.10.2015 Bragantino 2-0 HT 1-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
08.07.2015 Criciuma Criciuma 1-0 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR2

Criciuma 1-0 Bragantino — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Criciuma
1-0
AWAY Bragantino
0.87 xG 1.11
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
279 Passes 290
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Criciuma vs Bragantino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Criciuma nicked a narrow win over Bragantino 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Criciuma made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Criciuma had 49% of the ball to Bragantino's 51%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 0.87 to 1.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Criciuma and 1.33 for Bragantino.

What was the final score of Criciuma vs Bragantino?

Criciuma 1-0 Bragantino in the Brazil - Serie A on 29/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Criciuma win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 40%, draw 28%, Bragantino 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Criciuma), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Criciuma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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