Sudan 1-1 Senegal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Championship, 29 Aug 2025

Sudan
1-1 HT 1-0
Senegal
📅29/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Afrika Uluslar Championship – 2024

Sudan vs Senegal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.94
Draw
39%
2.77
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.36
Over 2.5
37%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.33
No
47%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.89
2-3 Goals
43%
1.89
4-5 Goals
16%
7.34
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.95
1/2
11%
34.5
1/X
3%
15.2
X/1
10%
5.8
X/2
8%
4.92
X/X
29%
3.1
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.86
2/X
7%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
31%
-3.4pp
38%
Draw
33%
+5.6pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
70%
-6.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
30%
+6.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
39%
+14.0pp
47%
BTTS No
61%
-14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sudan v Senegal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sudan EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Senegal EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
0.42/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/0.75
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
361 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
6.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
9.0 Crosses 18.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

Sudan vs Senegal Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sudan
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Senegal
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.42 xG 0.51
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
152 Passes 327
63% Pass Accuracy 78%
6 Box Touches 11
9 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.08.2025 Sudan Sudan 0-0 HT 0-0 Senegal Senegal AUŞ
22.03.2025 Sudan Sudan 0-0 HT 0-0 Senegal Senegal DKE
16.10.2018 Sudan Sudan 0-1 HT 0-0 Senegal Senegal AFUK
13.10.2018 Senegal Senegal 3-0 HT 2-0 Sudan Sudan AFUK

Sudan 1-1 Senegal — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sudan
1-1
AWAY Senegal
1.01 xG 0.57
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
128 Passes 307
62% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 15
10 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sudan vs Senegal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sudan and Senegal couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 27% / 38% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, Sudan had 35% of the ball to Senegal's 65%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.01 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Senegal led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Sudan and 1.00 for Senegal.

What was the final score of Sudan vs Senegal?

Sudan 1-1 Senegal in the Afrika Uluslar Championship on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sudan vs Senegal?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sudan 27%, draw 38%, Senegal 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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