FK Sarajevo 1-0 Rudar Prijedor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 29 Aug 2025

📅29/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.18
Draw
13%
5.28
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.44
No
49%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
50%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
79%
-4.0pp
13%
Draw
15%
-2.4pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+6.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
37%
+14.1pp
49%
BTTS No
63%
-14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Rudar Prijedor EU Bookmakers 9%
-9% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.25/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/2.03
-2% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +5%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
407 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Sarajevo
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Rudar Prijedor
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.04.2022 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 6-0 HT 2-0 Rudar Prijedor Rudar Prijedor BOSN
30.10.2021 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-1 HT 1-1 Rudar Prijedor Rudar Prijedor BOSN
08.08.2021 Rudar Prijedor Rudar Prijedor 0-2 HT 0-2 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Sarajevo
1-0
AWAY Rudar Prijedor
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FK Sarajevo vs Rudar Prijedor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Sarajevo squeezed past Rudar Prijedor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had FK Sarajevo as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Sarajevo had 63% of the ball to Rudar Prijedor's 37%, shots finished 19-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, FK Sarajevo had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for FK Sarajevo and 0.33 for Rudar Prijedor.

What was the final score of FK Sarajevo vs Rudar Prijedor?

FK Sarajevo 1-0 Rudar Prijedor in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Sarajevo vs Rudar Prijedor?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Sarajevo win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split FK Sarajevo 75%, draw 13%, Rudar Prijedor 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Sarajevo) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Sarajevo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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