Fremad Amager 2-1 Roskilde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 29 Aug 2025

📅29/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
3.61
6+ Goals
9%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 33% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fremad Amager EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Roskilde EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -5%
1.00/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.14
-24% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
385 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fremad Amager
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Roskilde
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
10.11.2023 Roskilde Roskilde 2-0 HT 0-0 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
01.09.2023 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 0-1 HT 0-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
18.10.2022 Roskilde Roskilde 1-2 HT 0-2 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAK
28.06.2020 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 2-0 HT 1-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN1
06.06.2020 Roskilde Roskilde 2-1 HT 1-1 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN1
29.09.2019 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 2-1 HT 0-1 Roskilde Roskilde DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fremad Amager
2-1
AWAY Roskilde
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fremad Amager vs Roskilde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fremad Amager nicked a narrow win over Roskilde 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Roskilde at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fremad Amager had 42% of the ball to Roskilde's 58%, shots finished 6-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fremad Amager and 1.17 for Roskilde.

What was the final score of Fremad Amager vs Roskilde?

Fremad Amager 2-1 Roskilde in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fremad Amager vs Roskilde?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roskilde win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fremad Amager 32%, draw 26%, Roskilde 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Roskilde) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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