Al Arabi vs Umm Salal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Arabi v Umm Salal — Team-Based Signals
Al Arabi vs Umm Salal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Al Arabi
KAT
2-1
HT 2-0
Umm Salal
KATYK
0-3
HT 0-3
Umm Salal
KAT
2-1
HT 0-1
Al Arabi
KAT
4-4
HT 3-1
Al Arabi
KATYK
0-0
HT 0-0
Al Arabi
KATYK
Al Arabi nicked a narrow win over Umm Salal 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Arabi as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (61%) came in.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Umm Salal led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Arabi and 2.00 for Umm Salal.
What was the final score of Al Arabi vs Umm Salal?
Al Arabi 3-2 Umm Salal in the Qatar League on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Arabi vs Umm Salal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Al Arabi 59%, draw 22%, Umm Salal 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Arabi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.