Cukaricki Stankom 1-3 OFK Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 29 Aug 2025

📅29/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.1
Over
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
42%
4-5
22%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.6pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cukaricki Stankom EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.65/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/0.94
-13% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / +39%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 78%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
19.3 Crosses 17.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cukaricki Stankom
2W-0D-1L
AWAY OFK Beograd
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
3.14 xG 1.90
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
367 Passes 296
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.12.2024 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 0-1 HT 0-0 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd SIRP
09.08.2024 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 1-2 HT 0-1 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
25.10.2014 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 0-4 HT 0-1 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cukaricki Stankom
1-3
AWAY OFK Beograd
1.43 xG 1.94
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 8
348 Passes 326
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 23
27 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cukaricki Stankom vs OFK Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFK Beograd saw off Cukaricki Stankom 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Cukaricki Stankom at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Cukaricki Stankom had 51% of the ball to OFK Beograd's 49%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.43 to 1.94.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cukaricki Stankom had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cukaricki Stankom and 0.67 for OFK Beograd.

What was the final score of Cukaricki Stankom vs OFK Beograd?

Cukaricki Stankom 1-3 OFK Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cukaricki Stankom vs OFK Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cukaricki Stankom win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cukaricki Stankom 44%, draw 26%, OFK Beograd 30%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cukaricki Stankom), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cukaricki Stankom) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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