Arouca vs Maritimo Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Portugal - Premier League, 29 Aug 2026

📅29/08/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arouca
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Maritimo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.30 xG 1.58
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
297 Passes 256
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.04.2023 Arouca Arouca 1-0 HT 1-0 Maritimo Maritimo POR
23.10.2022 Maritimo Maritimo 1-1 HT 1-1 Arouca Arouca POR
14.02.2022 Arouca Arouca 0-3 HT 0-2 Maritimo Maritimo POR
13.09.2021 Maritimo Maritimo 2-2 HT 2-1 Arouca Arouca POR
19.03.2017 Maritimo Maritimo 3-1 HT 1-1 Arouca Arouca POR
30.10.2016 Arouca Arouca 1-0 HT 0-0 Maritimo Maritimo POR
PREVIEW Arouca vs Maritimo
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Arouca edge the probabilities without dominating them — the sort of game that punishes overconfidence.

The home form book backs Arouca: 4 wins in their last 5 league games.

Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Arouca against 1.50 for Maritimo.

Arouca vs Maritimo Kick-off Time

Arouca play Maritimo in the Portugal - Premier League on 29/08/2026, kick-off 17:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Arouca vs Maritimo Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Arouca vs Maritimo is a Arouca win at about 44% probability, priced 2.12 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Arouca 44%, draw 29%, Maritimo 26%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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