Sigma Olomouc II 4-1 Zbrojovka Brno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒11:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.5pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.6pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.4pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sigma Olomouc II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Zbrojovka Brno EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.34/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.30
-15% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sigma Olomouc II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Zbrojovka Brno
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
11.11.2023 Zbrojovka Brno Zbrojovka Brno 0-1 HT 0-0 Sigma Olomouc II Sigma Olomouc II ÇEK2
30.07.2023 Sigma Olomouc II Sigma Olomouc II 1-2 HT 1-1 Zbrojovka Brno Zbrojovka Brno ÇEK2
POST-MATCH Sigma Olomouc II vs Zbrojovka Brno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sigma Olomouc II ran out comfortable winners over Zbrojovka Brno 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Sigma Olomouc II found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sigma Olomouc II and 1.00 for Zbrojovka Brno.

What was the final score of Sigma Olomouc II vs Zbrojovka Brno?

Sigma Olomouc II 4-1 Zbrojovka Brno in the Czech Republic - FNL on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sigma Olomouc II vs Zbrojovka Brno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sigma Olomouc II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sigma Olomouc II 38%, draw 30%, Zbrojovka Brno 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sigma Olomouc II), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sigma Olomouc II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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