Rangers 1-0 Hibernian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.33
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.75
2-3 Goals
37%
1.92
4-5 Goals
27%
2.83
6+ Goals
16%
7.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.54
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
21.2
X/1
20%
3.51
X/2
7%
18.2
X/X
6%
7.55
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
22.3
2/2
6%
14.1
2/X
8%
21.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 12% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
71%
-8.7pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.1pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rangers EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernian EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
2.62/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.69
+16% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -22%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
449 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 166 · 63%
41.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
28.9 Crosses 11.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rangers
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Hibernian
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.70 xG 0.71
61% Ball Possession 39%
23 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
465 Passes 260
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
38 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Rangers Rangers 3-1 HT 2-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
10.03.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 0-2 HT 0-1 Rangers Rangers İKK
24.01.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 0-3 HT 0-2 Rangers Rangers İKP
21.10.2023 Rangers Rangers 4-0 HT 2-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
21.05.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 1-3 HT 0-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
08.03.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 1-4 HT 1-2 Rangers Rangers İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rangers
1-0
AWAY Hibernian
1.68 xG 2.16
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
502 Passes 212
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 25
25 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rangers vs Hibernian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rangers squeezed past Hibernian 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rangers as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rangers had 67% of the ball to Hibernian's 33%, shots finished 18-18, expected goals 1.68 to 2.16 — on chances, Hibernian could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rangers had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Rangers and 0.50 for Hibernian.

What was the final score of Rangers vs Hibernian?

Rangers 1-0 Hibernian in the Scotland - Premiership on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rangers vs Hibernian?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Rangers 62%, draw 21%, Hibernian 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rangers) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rangers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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