Biel-Bienne 4-0 Kriens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.33
Over Pick
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
45%
4-5
20%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.9pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.3pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.8pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Biel-Bienne EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Kriens EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.78/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/2.05
-14% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Biel-Bienne
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Kriens
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
05.11.2023 Biel-Bienne Biel-Bienne 1-2 HT 1-1 Kriens Kriens İSV1Y
29.04.2023 Biel-Bienne Biel-Bienne 2-1 HT 2-1 Kriens Kriens İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Biel-Bienne
4-0
AWAY Kriens
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Biel-Bienne vs Kriens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Biel-Bienne cruised past Kriens 4-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Biel-Bienne as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Biel-Bienne had 53% of the ball to Kriens's 47%, shots finished 15-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Biel-Bienne and 1.50 for Kriens.

What was the final score of Biel-Bienne vs Kriens?

Biel-Bienne 4-0 Kriens in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Biel-Bienne vs Kriens?

Before kick-off our model rated a Biel-Bienne win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Biel-Bienne 49%, draw 27%, Kriens 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Biel-Bienne), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Biel-Bienne) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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