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Roma (K) vs Napoli (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Roma (K) v Napoli (K) — Team-Based Signals
Roma (K) vs Napoli (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
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Roma (K) 3-1 Napoli (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Roma (K) got the better of Napoli (K) 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Roma (K) as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Roma (K) had 77% of the ball to Napoli (K)'s 23%, shots finished 24-7, expected goals 2.43 to 0.50.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Roma (K) and 1.00 for Napoli (K).
What was the final score of Roma (K) vs Napoli (K)?
Roma (K) 3-1 Napoli (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Roma (K) vs Napoli (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Roma (K) 66%, draw 20%, Napoli (K) 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.