Floridsdorfer AC 3-1 Lafnitz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.32
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.97
6+ Goals
9%
8.96
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.32 — our 31% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1.95
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.8
X/1
14%
3.87
X/2
8%
11.0
X/X
14%
6.12
2/1
11%
21.0
2/2
15%
8.1
2/X
6%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
60%
-17.0pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.7pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.4pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floridsdorfer AC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Lafnitz EU Bookmakers 21%
-13% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -17%
1.10/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.83
-34% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
341 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 65%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
15.0 Crosses 7.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Floridsdorfer AC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Lafnitz
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.03.2024 Lafnitz Lafnitz 2-1 HT 1-1 Floridsdorfer AC Floridsdorfer AC AU2
18.08.2023 Floridsdorfer AC Floridsdorfer AC 3-0 HT 1-0 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
28.04.2023 Floridsdorfer AC Floridsdorfer AC 4-3 HT 1-0 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
05.08.2022 Lafnitz Lafnitz 0-4 HT 0-1 Floridsdorfer AC Floridsdorfer AC AU2
13.05.2022 Lafnitz Lafnitz 1-0 HT 1-0 Floridsdorfer AC Floridsdorfer AC AU2
05.11.2021 Floridsdorfer AC Floridsdorfer AC 2-2 HT 1-1 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Floridsdorfer AC
3-1
AWAY Lafnitz
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Floridsdorfer AC vs Lafnitz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floridsdorfer AC got the better of Lafnitz 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Floridsdorfer AC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Floridsdorfer AC had 58% of the ball to Lafnitz's 42%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Floridsdorfer AC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Floridsdorfer AC and 1.33 for Lafnitz.

What was the final score of Floridsdorfer AC vs Lafnitz?

Floridsdorfer AC 3-1 Lafnitz in the Austria - 1st Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floridsdorfer AC vs Lafnitz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Floridsdorfer AC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Floridsdorfer AC 43%, draw 29%, Lafnitz 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Floridsdorfer AC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Floridsdorfer AC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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