Zeljeznicar 1-0 Posusje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.33
No
60%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.9pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.2pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.3pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
39%
+1.2pp
60%
BTTS No
61%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zeljeznicar EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Posusje EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +8%
1.41/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.97
-14% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +51%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zeljeznicar
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Posusje
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
19.04.2024 Posusje Posusje 1-0 HT 1-0 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar BOSN
26.11.2023 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar 1-1 HT 0-1 Posusje Posusje BOSN
19.08.2023 Posusje Posusje 1-0 HT 1-0 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar BOSN
19.11.2022 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar 1-1 HT 1-0 Posusje Posusje BOSN
31.08.2022 Posusje Posusje 1-2 HT 0-2 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar BOSN
03.04.2022 Posusje Posusje 3-2 HT 0-0 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zeljeznicar
1-0
AWAY Posusje
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zeljeznicar vs Posusje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zeljeznicar nicked a narrow win over Posusje 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zeljeznicar as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zeljeznicar had 58% of the ball to Posusje's 42%, shots finished 11-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Posusje led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zeljeznicar and 1.33 for Posusje.

What was the final score of Zeljeznicar vs Posusje?

Zeljeznicar 1-0 Posusje in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zeljeznicar vs Posusje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zeljeznicar win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Zeljeznicar 45%, draw 31%, Posusje 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zeljeznicar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zeljeznicar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
29 Sep 2024
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