Fremad Amager 1-0 Aarhus Fremad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.08
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
3.07
6+ Goals
12%
9.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-1.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.6pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fremad Amager EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -18%
1.18/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/2.13
-11% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -40%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
291 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fremad Amager
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.79 xG 2.62
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
179 Passes 479
65% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 39
11 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2023 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 1-1 HT 1-1 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
10.09.2023 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 3-1 HT 2-0 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
09.11.2022 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 3-1 HT 3-1 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fremad Amager
1-0
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fremad Amager vs Aarhus Fremad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fremad Amager squeezed past Aarhus Fremad 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Fremad Amager found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fremad Amager had 37% of the ball to Aarhus Fremad's 63%, shots finished 5-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Aarhus Fremad led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fremad Amager and 2.33 for Aarhus Fremad.

What was the final score of Fremad Amager vs Aarhus Fremad?

Fremad Amager 1-0 Aarhus Fremad in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fremad Amager vs Aarhus Fremad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fremad Amager 37%, draw 24%, Aarhus Fremad 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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