Persija Jakarta 1-1 PSM Makassar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 29 Sep 2024

Persija Jakarta
1-1 HT 0-1
PSM Makassar
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Indonesia League 1 – 2024/2025

Persija Jakarta vs PSM Makassar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
14%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-1.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Persija Jakarta v PSM Makassar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persija Jakarta EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY PSM Makassar EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +4%
1.61/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.46
+17% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
309 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Persija Jakarta vs PSM Makassar Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persija Jakarta
4W-1D-0L
AWAY PSM Makassar
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
384 Passes 227
The Meetings
25.01.2023 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta 4-2 HT 2-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
05.08.2022 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 1-1 HT 0-0 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta ENDL1
21.03.2022 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta 3-1 HT 2-1 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
07.12.2021 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 0-3 HT 0-0 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta ENDL1
20.10.2019 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 0-1 HT 0-0 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta ENDL1
POST-MATCH Persija Jakarta vs PSM Makassar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persija Jakarta and PSM Makassar shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Persija Jakarta at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Persija Jakarta had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Persija Jakarta and 0.80 for PSM Makassar.

What was the final score of Persija Jakarta vs PSM Makassar?

Persija Jakarta 1-1 PSM Makassar in the Indonesia League 1 on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persija Jakarta vs PSM Makassar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persija Jakarta win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Persija Jakarta 44%, draw 28%, PSM Makassar 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Persija Jakarta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Persija Jakarta) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ENDL1 More Indonesia League 1
29 Sep 2024
11:30 Semen Padang vs Persis Solo Analysis →