PSG (K) 4-0 Guingamp (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.11
Draw
24%
8.78
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.94
Over 2.5
68%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
2.44
No
42%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
3%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
85%
-22.5pp
24%
Draw
8%
+15.6pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+6.8pp
32%
Under 2.5
22%
+10.5pp
68%
Over 2.5
78%
-10.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
37%
+21.2pp
42%
BTTS No
63%
-21.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSG (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Guingamp (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
3.56/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.31/2.43
+95% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -11%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
593 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
41.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
22.3 Crosses 12.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSG (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Guingamp (K)
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.16 xG 0.74
72% Ball Possession 28%
18 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
490 Passes 135
88% Pass Accuracy 61%
37 Box Touches 9
30 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2024 Guingamp (K) Guingamp (K) 3-3 HT 1-1 PSG (K) PSG (K) FRK1
17.02.2024 PSG (K) PSG (K) 5-0 HT 2-0 Guingamp (K) Guingamp (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSG (K)
4-0
AWAY Guingamp (K)
2.70 xG 0.00
68% Ball Possession 32%
22 Total Shots 0
9 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 2
538 Passes 210
91% Pass Accuracy 72%
44 Box Touches 1
40 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH PSG (K) vs Guingamp (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG (K) cruised past Guingamp (K) 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had PSG (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (68%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, PSG (K) had 68% of the ball to Guingamp (K)'s 32%, shots finished 22-0, expected goals 2.70 to 0.00.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, PSG (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for PSG (K) and 1.50 for Guingamp (K).

What was the final score of PSG (K) vs Guingamp (K)?

PSG (K) 4-0 Guingamp (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSG (K) vs Guingamp (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSG (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split PSG (K) 63%, draw 24%, Guingamp (K) 13%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSG (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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