FC Seoul 1-0 Suwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.35
6+ Goals
10%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 27% vs market 22.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.61
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
12%
13.35
X/1
19%
4.45
X/2
8%
7.62
X/X
10%
4.9
2/1
8%
24.0
2/2
11%
5.53
2/X
6%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.0pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon City EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.29/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.97
-41% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
383 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 76%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
16.4 Crosses 11.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Seoul
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Suwon City
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
457 Passes 404
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
2 Yellow Cards 0
22.06.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 3-0 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
30.04.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
29.10.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 3-4 HT 1-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
30.09.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
12.07.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 7-2 HT 3-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
29.04.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Seoul
1-0
AWAY Suwon City
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
329 Passes 297
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Seoul vs Suwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Seoul squeezed past Suwon City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Seoul as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, FC Seoul had 52% of the ball to Suwon City's 48%, shots finished 14-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Seoul had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for FC Seoul and 1.00 for Suwon City.

What was the final score of FC Seoul vs Suwon City?

FC Seoul 1-0 Suwon City in the South Kore - K League Classic on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Seoul vs Suwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Seoul win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FC Seoul 48%, draw 27%, Suwon City 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Seoul), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Seoul) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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