Croatia Zmijavci 1-0 Jarun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.5pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Croatia Zmijavci EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Jarun EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.36/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.30
-7% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +133% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
310 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Croatia Zmijavci
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Jarun
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci 1-0 HT 1-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Croatia Zmijavci
1-0
AWAY Jarun
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Croatia Zmijavci vs Jarun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Croatia Zmijavci nicked a narrow win over Jarun 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Croatia Zmijavci as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Croatia Zmijavci had 45% of the ball to Jarun's 55%, shots finished 14-9.

What was the final score of Croatia Zmijavci vs Jarun?

Croatia Zmijavci 1-0 Jarun in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Croatia Zmijavci vs Jarun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Croatia Zmijavci win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Croatia Zmijavci 41%, draw 27%, Jarun 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Croatia Zmijavci), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Croatia Zmijavci) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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