Ajax (K) 5-1 PEC Zwolle (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.78
Away
11%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
3.59
Over 2.5
70%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.09
No
49%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
39%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
4%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
82%
-11.3pp
18%
Draw
10%
+7.0pp
11%
Away Win
7%
+4.3pp
30%
Under 2.5
24%
+5.4pp
70%
Over 2.5
76%
-5.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.0pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY PEC Zwolle (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
2.51/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/2.51
+63% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / +21%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
486 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
9.0 Crosses 16.0
0.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY PEC Zwolle (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.51 xG 0.40
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
465 Passes 235
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 12
9 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.03.2024 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) 3-2 HT 2-0 PEC Zwolle (K) PEC Zwolle (K) HOLK1
10.11.2023 PEC Zwolle (K) PEC Zwolle (K) 1-3 HT 0-1 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax (K)
5-1
AWAY PEC Zwolle (K)
64% Ball Possession 36%
27 Total Shots 4
17 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 0
428 Passes 192
82% Pass Accuracy 67%
20 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ajax (K) vs PEC Zwolle (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax (K) swept aside PEC Zwolle (K) 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ajax (K) as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ajax (K) had 64% of the ball to PEC Zwolle (K)'s 36%, shots finished 27-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ajax (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Ajax (K) and 1.50 for PEC Zwolle (K).

What was the final score of Ajax (K) vs PEC Zwolle (K)?

Ajax (K) 5-1 PEC Zwolle (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax (K) vs PEC Zwolle (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Ajax (K) 71%, draw 18%, PEC Zwolle (K) 11%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ajax (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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