Fortuna Sittard (K) 1-3 Twente (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
12.23
Draw
21%
8.78
Away
65%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.17
Over 2.5
63%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.44
No
45%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
5%
2/1
3%
2/2
40%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
5%
+9.3pp
21%
Draw
8%
+13.1pp
66%
Away Win
88%
-22.3pp
37%
Under 2.5
28%
+8.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
72%
-8.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
37%
+18.4pp
45%
BTTS No
63%
-18.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Sittard (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Twente (K) EU Bookmakers 94%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +33%
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
232 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 503 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
Crosses 15.0
Yellow Cards 0.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Sittard (K)
1-3
AWAY Twente (K)
34% Ball Possession 66%
4 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 5
255 Passes 597
72% Pass Accuracy 86%
7 Crosses 26
POST-MATCH Fortuna Sittard (K) vs Twente (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente (K) beat Fortuna Sittard (K) 3-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Twente (K) as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fortuna Sittard (K) had 34% of the ball to Twente (K)'s 66%, shots finished 4-19.

What was the final score of Fortuna Sittard (K) vs Twente (K)?

Fortuna Sittard (K) 1-3 Twente (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Sittard (K) vs Twente (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Twente (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Sittard (K) 14%, draw 21%, Twente (K) 66%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Twente (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Twente (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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