Al Nasar 2-2 Al Yarmouk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒18:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.79
2-3 Goals
42%
1.93
4-5 Goals
25%
2.81
6+ Goals
10%
7.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+0.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-2.7pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nasar EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Yarmouk EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.73/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.28
+20% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
315 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nasar
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Yarmouk
4.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
09.03.2022 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
29.11.2020 Al Nasar Al Nasar 5-0 HT 1-0 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk KUV
POST-MATCH Al Nasar vs Al Yarmouk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasar and Al Yarmouk couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Nasar had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals for Al Nasar and 0.00 for Al Yarmouk.

What was the final score of Al Nasar vs Al Yarmouk?

Al Nasar 2-2 Al Yarmouk in the Kuwait - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nasar vs Al Yarmouk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nasar win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Al Nasar 36%, draw 28%, Al Yarmouk 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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