Banga Gargzdai 0-0 Hegelmann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - Cup, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.34
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
50%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.97
Over Pick
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
39%
4-5
25%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+6.3pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.6pp
50%
Away Win
62%
-11.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -38%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
240 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 471 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banga Gargzdai
0-0
AWAY Hegelmann
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Banga Gargzdai vs Hegelmann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banga Gargzdai and Hegelmann fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Hegelmann at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Banga Gargzdai had 39% of the ball to Hegelmann's 61%, shots finished 6-16.

What was the final score of Banga Gargzdai vs Hegelmann?

Banga Gargzdai 0-0 Hegelmann in the Lithuania - Cup on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banga Gargzdai vs Hegelmann?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hegelmann win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 22%, draw 28%, Hegelmann 50%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Hegelmann), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hegelmann) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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