29/09/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Tatabanya vs Ajka Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
22%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Under 2.5
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
27%
Draw
27%
45%
Away Win
44%
56%
Under 2.5
55%
44%
Over 2.5
45%
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
50%
BTTS No
50%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tatabanya v Ajka — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Tatabanya
EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY
Ajka
EU Bookmakers 48%
-13% /
-13%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-5% /
-5%
1.32/3.69
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.42/1.29
+10%
/
-65%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-3%
/
-6%
47%
Ball Possession
53%
10
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
4
280 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
339 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.0
Yellow Cards
2.2
POST-MATCH
Tatabanya vs Ajka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ajka edged past Tatabanya 2-1 away from home.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ajka as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Tatabanya vs Ajka?
Tatabanya 1-2 Ajka in the Hungary - NB II on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tatabanya vs Ajka?
Before kick-off our model rated an Ajka win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tatabanya 28%, draw 27%, Ajka 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajka) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Ajka)
✗ Under 2.5
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MAC2
More Hungary - NB II
29 Sep 2024