Tatabanya 1-2 Ajka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
22%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tatabanya EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajka EU Bookmakers 48%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.32/3.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.29
+10% / -65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
280 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
POST-MATCH Tatabanya vs Ajka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajka edged past Tatabanya 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ajka as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Tatabanya vs Ajka?

Tatabanya 1-2 Ajka in the Hungary - NB II on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tatabanya vs Ajka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ajka win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tatabanya 28%, draw 27%, Ajka 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajka) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajka) ✗ Under 2.5
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