Rancho Santana 2-2 Export Sebaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.29
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
27%
+12.3pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.5pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-6.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rancho Santana EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 51%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
0.49/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
-60% / +137% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +10%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rancho Santana
2-2
AWAY Export Sebaco
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rancho Santana vs Export Sebaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rancho Santana and Export Sebaco couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 20% / 41% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Rancho Santana had 46% of the ball to Export Sebaco's 54%, shots finished 15-18.

What was the final score of Rancho Santana vs Export Sebaco?

Rancho Santana 2-2 Export Sebaco in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rancho Santana vs Export Sebaco?

Before kick-off our model rated an Export Sebaco win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rancho Santana 40%, draw 20%, Export Sebaco 41%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Export Sebaco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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