Lyn Oslo 1-2 Raufoss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.23
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
3.01
6+ Goals
12%
9.26
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.23 — our 24% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.2pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.7pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+7.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyn Oslo EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Raufoss EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +36%
2.16/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.45
+3% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +40%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
482 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyn Oslo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Raufoss
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
27.05.2024 Raufoss Raufoss 1-0 HT 0-0 Lyn Oslo Lyn Oslo NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyn Oslo
1-2
AWAY Raufoss
60% Ball Possession 40%
23 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lyn Oslo vs Raufoss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raufoss nicked a narrow win over Lyn Oslo 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lyn Oslo at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Lyn Oslo had 60% of the ball to Raufoss's 40%, shots finished 23-12.

What was the final score of Lyn Oslo vs Raufoss?

Lyn Oslo 1-2 Raufoss in the Norway - 1st Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyn Oslo vs Raufoss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lyn Oslo win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lyn Oslo 51%, draw 25%, Raufoss 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lyn Oslo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lyn Oslo) ✓ BTTS Yes
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