Al Jubail 3-1 Arabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.71
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
55%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+4.3pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
55%
Away Win
58%
-3.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.8pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jubail EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Arabi EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -1%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
230 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Jubail
3-1
AWAY Arabi
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Al Jubail vs Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Jubail got the better of Arabi 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Arabi carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Jubail had 50% of the ball to Arabi's 50%.

What was the final score of Al Jubail vs Arabi?

Al Jubail 3-1 Arabi in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jubail vs Arabi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Jubail 22%, draw 22%, Arabi 55%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arabi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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