Lamphun Warrior 4-1 Rayong FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-7.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lamphun Warrior EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayong FC EU Bookmakers 22%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.29/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.76
-20% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -42%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
18.8 Crosses 8.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lamphun Warrior
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Rayong FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.04.2022 Rayong FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY1
17.11.2021 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 2-0 HT 0-0 Rayong FC TAY1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lamphun Warrior
4-1
AWAY Rayong FC
2.26 xG 0.54
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
267 Passes 169
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
12 Box Touches 7
11 Crosses 9
POST-MATCH Lamphun Warrior vs Rayong FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lamphun Warrior ran out comfortable winners over Rayong FC 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lamphun Warrior as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lamphun Warrior had 57% of the ball to Rayong FC's 43%, shots finished 10-4, expected goals 2.26 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lamphun Warrior had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lamphun Warrior and 0.00 for Rayong FC.

What was the final score of Lamphun Warrior vs Rayong FC?

Lamphun Warrior 4-1 Rayong FC in the Thailand - 1st Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lamphun Warrior vs Rayong FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lamphun Warrior win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lamphun Warrior 51%, draw 24%, Rayong FC 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lamphun Warrior), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lamphun Warrior) ✓ Over 2.5
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