Obolon Kyiv 2-1 Inhulets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.38
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.44
Over 2.5
29%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
20%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
38%
-8.2pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.0pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.2pp
71%
Under 2.5
66%
+5.7pp
29%
Over 2.5
34%
-5.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.9pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Obolon Kyiv EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Inhulets EU Bookmakers 33%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -23%
1.00/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.50
-16% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Obolon Kyiv vs Inhulets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Obolon Kyiv nicked a narrow win over Inhulets 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 33% / 37% — and on the day Obolon Kyiv made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Obolon Kyiv vs Inhulets?

Obolon Kyiv 2-1 Inhulets in the Ukraine - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Obolon Kyiv vs Inhulets?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inhulets win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Obolon Kyiv 30%, draw 33%, Inhulets 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Inhulets) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UKR More Ukraine - Premier League
29 Sep 2024
15:30 Rukh Vynnyky vs Kolos Kovalivka Analysis →
18:00 Livyi Bereh vs Dynamo Kiev Analysis →