Napier 4-0 Western Springs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — New Zealand - Bölgesel, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.94
Away
44%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.98
Over Pick
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.33
No
42%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
35%
4-5
34%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
4%
X/2
28%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
25%
Home Win
48%
-23.5pp
31%
Draw
22%
+8.7pp
44%
Away Win
30%
+14.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
71%
-13.0pp
42%
BTTS No
29%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napier The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Springs The Market 33%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-36% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Napier vs Western Springs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napier cruised past Western Springs 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match lean was Western Springs at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

What was the final score of Napier vs Western Springs?

Napier 4-0 Western Springs in the New Zealand - Bölgesel on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napier vs Western Springs?

Before kick-off our model rated an Western Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Napier 25%, draw 31%, Western Springs 44%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Western Springs), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Western Springs) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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