PFC Beroe 1-0 Dobrudzha 1919 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Dobrudzha 1919 EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
1.14/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.50
-4% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PFC Beroe
1-0
AWAY Dobrudzha 1919
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH PFC Beroe vs Dobrudzha 1919
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PFC Beroe squeezed past Dobrudzha 1919 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PFC Beroe as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, PFC Beroe had 62% of the ball to Dobrudzha 1919's 38%, shots finished 12-4.

What was the final score of PFC Beroe vs Dobrudzha 1919?

PFC Beroe 1-0 Dobrudzha 1919 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PFC Beroe vs Dobrudzha 1919?

Before kick-off our model rated a PFC Beroe win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split PFC Beroe 41%, draw 28%, Dobrudzha 1919 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PFC Beroe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PFC Beroe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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