Brezilya U20 2-2 Meksika U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup U20, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.74
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
9%
9.59
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 29% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-2.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
21%
Away Win
21%
+0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brezilya U20 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Meksika U20 EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
1.97/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.45
+38% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
304 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brezilya U20
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Meksika U20
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
18.08.2011 Brezilya U20 Brezilya U20 2-0 HT 0-0 Meksika U20 Meksika U20 DK20
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brezilya U20
2-2
AWAY Meksika U20
0.56 xG 1.14
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
387 Passes 379
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brezilya U20 vs Meksika U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brezilya U20 and Meksika U20 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Brezilya U20 at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Brezilya U20 had 51% of the ball to Meksika U20's 49%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.56 to 1.14.

What was the final score of Brezilya U20 vs Meksika U20?

Brezilya U20 2-2 Meksika U20 in the World Cup U20 on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brezilya U20 vs Meksika U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brezilya U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Brezilya U20 54%, draw 25%, Meksika U20 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brezilya U20), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brezilya U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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