Budapest Honved 5-2 Karcag SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 29 Sep 2025

Budapest Honved
5-2 HT 3-1
Karcag SE
📅29/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Hungary - NB II – 2025/2026

Budapest Honved vs Karcag SE Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Budapest Honved v Karcag SE — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Budapest Honved EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Karcag SE EU Bookmakers 23%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.81/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+9% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +43%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0

Budapest Honved 5-2 Karcag SE — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Budapest Honved
5-2
AWAY Karcag SE
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Budapest Honved vs Karcag SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Budapest Honved cruised past Karcag SE 5-2. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Budapest Honved as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Budapest Honved had 48% of the ball to Karcag SE's 52%, shots finished 18-13.

What was the final score of Budapest Honved vs Karcag SE?

Budapest Honved 5-2 Karcag SE in the Hungary - NB II on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Budapest Honved vs Karcag SE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Budapest Honved win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Budapest Honved 52%, draw 25%, Karcag SE 23%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Budapest Honved) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Budapest Honved) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →