Beşiktaş 3-1 Kocaelispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.42
Draw
15%
4.49
Away
9%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.33
Over 2.5
64%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.62
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
28%
2.73
6+ Goals
15%
7.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.65
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.3
X/1
26%
3.96
X/2
3%
14.6
X/X
5%
7.13
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.35
2/2
3%
11.75
2/X
4%
19.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.35 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
66%
+9.6pp
15%
Draw
19%
-4.8pp
10%
Away Win
14%
-4.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
39%
-2.5pp
64%
Over 2.5
61%
+2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
1.85/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.05
-9% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -95% / +75%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
331 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 79%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
21.9 Crosses 16.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beşiktaş
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Kocaelispor
4.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
21.07.2019 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 7-1 HT 2-1 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor HAZ
10.04.2009 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-3 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
07.11.2008 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 5-2 HT 2-2 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor TSL
03.08.2008 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 0-4 HT 0-3 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş HAZ
08.02.2003 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 0-5 HT 0-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
17.08.2002 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-1 HT 0-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beşiktaş
3-1
AWAY Kocaelispor
2.39 xG 0.27
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
263 Passes 403
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beşiktaş got the better of Kocaelispor 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Beşiktaş as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, Beşiktaş had 42% of the ball to Kocaelispor's 58%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 2.39 to 0.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 4.33 goals for Beşiktaş and 0.83 for Kocaelispor.

What was the final score of Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor?

Beşiktaş 3-1 Kocaelispor in the Turkey - Super League on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Beşiktaş 76%, draw 15%, Kocaelispor 10%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beşiktaş), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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