Yaracuyanos 1-3 Deportivo Tachira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
7.95
Draw
28%
4.81
Away
58%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
15%
X/1
4%
X/2
29%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
25%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
10%
+3.5pp
28%
Draw
18%
+9.9pp
58%
Away Win
72%
-13.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.6pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yaracuyanos EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Tachira EU Bookmakers 75%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.75/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 5.09/0.00
+35% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
208 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 83%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.6 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yaracuyanos
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Tachira
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.21 xG 2.20
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 22
0 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 9
283 Passes 394
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
3 Box Touches 31
9 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.04.2025 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 4-0 HT 3-0 Yaracuyanos Yaracuyanos VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yaracuyanos
1-3
AWAY Deportivo Tachira
1.39 xG 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
376 Passes 327
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 28
8 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Yaracuyanos vs Deportivo Tachira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Tachira beat Yaracuyanos 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Tachira as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Yaracuyanos had 53% of the ball to Deportivo Tachira's 47%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 1.39 to 1.67.

What was the final score of Yaracuyanos vs Deportivo Tachira?

Yaracuyanos 1-3 Deportivo Tachira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yaracuyanos vs Deportivo Tachira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Tachira win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Yaracuyanos 14%, draw 28%, Deportivo Tachira 58%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Tachira)
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