Liberya 0-1 Mali — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Africa Cup of Nations, 29 Sep 2026

Liberya Elo 1395 · #162 national teams DWDLL→
0 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Mali Elo 1662 · #34 national teams DDDLW→
📅29/09/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Africa Cup of Nations – 2027 Kenya/Tanzanya/Uganda

Liberya vs Mali Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 05:09
Match Result
Home
11%
5.44
Draw
22%
3.74
AwayVIEW
67%
1.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
1.71
Over
45%
2.04
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.21
No
57%
1.59
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.56
2-3
48%
1.72
4-5
19%
4.17
6+
4%
21.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
24%
X/X
14%
2/1
1%
2/2
40%
2/X
4%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Liberya v Mali — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Liberya The Market 18%
Signal
AWAY Mali The Market 65%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
0.85 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.74
2.02 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.61
Great Attack Strength Bad
Weak Defense Strength Great
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
236 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 82%
27 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
25 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1

Liberya vs Mali Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liberya
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Mali
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
The Meetings
08.10.2011 Liberya Liberya 2-2 HT 1-1 Mali Mali AFUK
09.10.2010 Mali Mali 2-1 HT 1-1 Liberya Liberya AFUK
05.06.2005 Mali Mali 4-1 HT 2-0 Liberya Liberya DKE

Liberya 0-1 Mali — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liberya
0 - 1
AWAY Mali
0.47 xG 1.14
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
225 Passes 434
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Liberya vs Mali
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Mali found just enough to beat Liberya 1-0 away from home. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Mali as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Liberya had 37% of the ball to Mali's 63%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.47 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mali led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Liberya and 2.67 for Mali.

Liberya vs Mali Result & Final Score

Liberya 0 - 1 Mali in the Africa Cup of Nations on 29/09/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Liberya vs Mali Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Mali win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Liberya 11%, draw 22%, Mali 67%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mali), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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