Lüksemburg vs İzlanda Prediction — Model Probabilities
Lüksemburg v İzlanda — Team-Based Signals
Lüksemburg vs İzlanda Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Lüksemburg 0-3 İzlanda — Actual Match Statistics
İzlanda overpowered Lüksemburg 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and on the day İzlanda made the difference.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 46% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring.
On the day, possession split 61% to 39% in Lüksemburg's favour, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.22 to 2.36.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lüksemburg had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Lüksemburg against 1.00 for İzlanda.
Lüksemburg vs İzlanda Result & Final Score
Lüksemburg 0 - 3 İzlanda in the UEFA Nations League on 29/09/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Lüksemburg vs İzlanda Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an İzlanda win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lüksemburg 32%, draw 30%, İzlanda 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İzlanda) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.