Fleetwood Town 2-2 Salford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.91
Over
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.41
2-3
41%
1.79
4-5
20%
3.47
6+
10%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.41 — our 29% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.99
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
14%
4.71
X/2
9%
6.4
X/X
14%
4.89
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
17%
4.58
2/X
6%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.7pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fleetwood Town The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Salford City The Market 34%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +16%
1.34/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.13
-66% / +112% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
320 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
25.5 Crosses 18.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fleetwood Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Salford City
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
06.07.2018 Salford City Salford City 0-4 HT 0-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fleetwood Town
2-2
AWAY Salford City
3.07 xG 0.64
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
228 Passes 325
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 14
6 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Fleetwood Town vs Salford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fleetwood Town and Salford City shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Fleetwood Town had 44% of the ball to Salford City's 56%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 3.07 to 0.64.

What was the final score of Fleetwood Town vs Salford City?

Fleetwood Town 2-2 Salford City in the England - 2nd Division on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fleetwood Town vs Salford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fleetwood Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fleetwood Town 40%, draw 27%, Salford City 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fleetwood Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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