Brentford 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
54%
1.22
Draw
24%
5.71
Away
22%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.61
Over
52%
1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
25%
6.03
2-3
41%
2.07
4-5
21%
2.57
6+
13%
5.73
Value flag · 0-1 at 6.03 — our 25% vs market 12.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.35
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
27.5
X/1
20%
3.48
X/2
7%
26.0
X/X
9%
9.82
2/1
11%
22.3
2/2
8%
19.45
2/X
8%
26.0
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Brentford The Market 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday The Market 11%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
1.99 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.60
0.66 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 2.04
Average Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Great
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
474 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 70%
33.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
26.1 Crosses 17.0
0.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brentford
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.41 xG 0.97
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
352 Passes 302
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.02.2021 Brentford Brentford 3-0 HT 1-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
21.10.2020 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-2 HT 1-2 Brentford Brentford İNCL
07.03.2020 Brentford Brentford 5-0 HT 3-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
07.12.2019 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 2-1 HT 0-1 Brentford Brentford İNCL
26.02.2019 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 2-0 HT 1-0 Brentford Brentford İNCL
19.08.2018 Brentford Brentford 2-0 HT 1-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brentford
1-1
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday
1.50 xG 0.49
70% Ball Possession 30%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
515 Passes 180
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
35 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Brentford vs Sheffield Wednesday
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Brentford and Sheffield Wednesday traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.

A gentle 54% lean on Brentford didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 1.22, about 82% — so the upset beat the price as well as us.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 52% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the over-2.5 price stood at 1.46, roughly 68%.

By the numbers, Brentford had 70% of the ball to Sheffield Wednesday's 30%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.50 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brentford had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Brentford and 0.83 for Sheffield Wednesday.

Brentford vs Sheffield Wednesday Result & Final Score

Brentford 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday in the England - League Cup on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Brentford vs Sheffield Wednesday Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Brentford win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Brentford 54%, draw 24%, Sheffield Wednesday 22%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brentford) ✗ Over 2.5
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