Frosinone U19 1-2 SPAL U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup Primavera, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.57
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
19%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
3%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
59%
-0.2pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.6pp
19%
Away Win
21%
-1.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frosinone U19 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY SPAL U19 EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
391 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Frosinone U19
1-2
AWAY SPAL U19
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Frosinone U19 vs SPAL U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SPAL U19 squeezed past Frosinone U19 2-1 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Frosinone U19 at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Frosinone U19 had 62% of the ball to SPAL U19's 38%, shots finished 20-7.

What was the final score of Frosinone U19 vs SPAL U19?

Frosinone U19 1-2 SPAL U19 in the Italy - Cup Primavera on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frosinone U19 vs SPAL U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Frosinone U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Frosinone U19 59%, draw 22%, SPAL U19 19%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Frosinone U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Frosinone U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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