Dinamo Minsk 2-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.32
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.24
6+ Goals
11%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 26% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
71%
-10.5pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.2pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.7pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Minsk EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.27/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/2.01
+12% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Minsk
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 5
13 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2024 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-2 HT 1-1 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
14.08.2022 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Minsk
2-0
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
60% Ball Possession 40%
25 Total Shots 11
13 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dinamo Minsk vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Minsk got the better of Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dinamo Minsk as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Dinamo Minsk had 60% of the ball to Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk's 40%, shots finished 25-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Dinamo Minsk had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dinamo Minsk and 0.50 for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk.

What was the final score of Dinamo Minsk vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

Dinamo Minsk 2-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Minsk vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Minsk 61%, draw 22%, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Minsk), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Minsk) ✓ BTTS No
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