Cheonan City 1-1 Bucheon 1995 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.38
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.51
6+ Goals
9%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 29% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-6.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.7pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheonan City EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Bucheon 1995 EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.01/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.26
-12% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -22%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
12.0 Crosses 17.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheonan City
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Bucheon 1995
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
26.06.2024 Cheonan City Cheonan City 1-2 HT 1-1 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
02.03.2024 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 1-3 HT 1-1 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
20.09.2023 Cheonan City Cheonan City 1-0 HT 1-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
11.06.2023 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 1-1 HT 1-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
12.03.2023 Cheonan City Cheonan City 0-3 HT 0-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheonan City
1-1
AWAY Bucheon 1995
48% Ball Possession 52%
21 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
328 Passes 365
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cheonan City vs Bucheon 1995
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheonan City and Bucheon 1995 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bucheon 1995 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Cheonan City had 48% of the ball to Bucheon 1995's 52%, shots finished 21-14.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Cheonan City and 1.40 for Bucheon 1995.

What was the final score of Cheonan City vs Bucheon 1995?

Cheonan City 1-1 Bucheon 1995 in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheonan City vs Bucheon 1995?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bucheon 1995 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cheonan City 29%, draw 29%, Bucheon 1995 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bucheon 1995), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bucheon 1995) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR2 More South Kore - K League Challenge
29 Oct 2024
13:30 Anyang vs Jeonnam Dragons Analysis →
13:30 Busan I Park vs Cheongju FC Analysis →