İsviçre (K) 2-1 Fransa (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.4
Draw
30%
4.19
Away
49%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.78
2-3 Goals
45%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.22
6+ Goals
8%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
15%
+5.4pp
30%
Draw
21%
+9.1pp
50%
Away Win
64%
-14.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İsviçre (K) EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Fransa (K) EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
328 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 462 · 89%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İsviçre (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Fransa (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 10
142 Passes 392
59% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 15
8 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2017 İsviçre (K) İsviçre (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) ABK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İsviçre (K)
2-1
AWAY Fransa (K)
0.99 xG 1.24
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 9
223 Passes 444
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İsviçre (K) vs Fransa (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İsviçre (K) nicked a narrow win over Fransa (K) 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Fransa (K) at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, İsviçre (K) had 36% of the ball to Fransa (K)'s 64%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.99 to 1.24.

What was the final score of İsviçre (K) vs Fransa (K)?

İsviçre (K) 2-1 Fransa (K) in the Friendlies on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İsviçre (K) vs Fransa (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fransa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split İsviçre (K) 21%, draw 30%, Fransa (K) 50%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fransa (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fransa (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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