Shahre Raz 1-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.17
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
45%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
28%
-3.1pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.9pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shahre Raz EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Shahr-e Babak FC EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -60% / -60%
1.00/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/1.38
+7% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / -41%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
217 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shahre Raz
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Mes Shahr-e Babak FC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
9 Corners 3
27.02.2024 Shahre Raz Shahre Raz 0-1 HT 0-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC IRANAZ
24.09.2023 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Shahre Raz Shahre Raz IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Shahre Raz vs Mes Shahr-e Babak FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shahre Raz edged past Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Mes Shahr-e Babak FC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mes Shahr-e Babak FC led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Shahre Raz and 0.50 for Mes Shahr-e Babak FC.

What was the final score of Shahre Raz vs Mes Shahr-e Babak FC?

Shahre Raz 1-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC in the Iran - Azadegan League on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shahre Raz vs Mes Shahr-e Babak FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mes Shahr-e Babak FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Shahre Raz 25%, draw 30%, Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mes Shahr-e Babak FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mes Shahr-e Babak FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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