Polonya (K) 4-1 Romanya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.22
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
20%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.51
No
48%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
78%
-16.1pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.9pp
20%
Away Win
7%
+13.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
36%
+16.3pp
48%
BTTS No
64%
-16.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonya (K) EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Romanya (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
442 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonya (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Romanya (K)
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.10.2024 Romanya (K) Romanya (K) 1-2 HT 1-0 Polonya (K) Polonya (K) KAVŞE
11.11.2022 Polonya (K) Polonya (K) 6-0 HT 3-0 Romanya (K) Romanya (K) HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonya (K)
4-1
AWAY Romanya (K)
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Polonya (K) vs Romanya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonya (K) cruised past Romanya (K) 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Polonya (K) as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Polonya (K) had 63% of the ball to Romanya (K)'s 37%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Polonya (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Polonya (K) and 0.50 for Romanya (K).

What was the final score of Polonya (K) vs Romanya (K)?

Polonya (K) 4-1 Romanya (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonya (K) vs Romanya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Polonya (K) 61%, draw 19%, Romanya (K) 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonya (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Polonya (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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